Best Football Tips of the Week!

After a whirlwind of fixtures that welcomed back the Premier League, it’s already time to do it all over again this weekend with a Saturday and Sunday packed full of fixtures to enjoy as we apply what we’ve learnt from the opening weekend to educate our bets.

Our tips will consist of the following categories:

·  The Banker – Shorter odd bets that are typically statistically more likely to happen.

·   The Earner – An upgrade on a banker that holds more potential profit, at a greater risk.

·   The Long Shot – Longer odds that aim to secure significant profit but as the name suggests, are often difficult to pull off.

·   The Accumulator – A combination of often shorter odd bets to create a longer, more profitable accumulator.

The Banker - (5/4)

Morgan Rogers to have a shot on target (5/4)

Aston Villa looked promising in their first game away to West Ham United, but Arsenal at home will obviously be a harder challenge, although the Gunners weren’t exactly firing on all cylinders in their season opener

Arsenal gave up 0.47 xG against Wolves, 0.3 more than they did against Gary O’Neil’s side last time and conceded three shots on target to a relatively poor side at home, suggesting Villa could test Raya plenty of times on Saturday.

Rogers averaged 0.97 shots on target per 90 with Middlesbrough last season and 0.7 in his limited minutes with Aston Villa.

The young attacker played the whole game against West Ham last weekend and had two shots, one being on target, making just over evens a good price.

Leon Bailey at Evens is also a good alternative price if you want to back the Jamaican instead.

Either way, you’ll have extra security on the bet with Paddy Power’s super sub promotion, meaning if the player is subbed the new substitution will still be able to win your bet.

Best odds for this bet can be found at Paddy Power —> link

The Earner - (23/10)

Both Teams To Score, Ben Breton Diaz & Chris Wood to have a Shot On Target [Southampton v Nottingham Forest] (23/10)

Although Southampton failed to score away to Newcastle last weekend, Russel Martin’s open style of play was apparent, and they could count themselves unlucky to score from the 1.77 xG they created.

Last season, no one in the Championship had more goals in their games than the Saints, which bodes well for the both teams to score aspect of this bet.

Brereton Diaz is the livewire in Southampton’s side and averaged 1.3 shots on target per 90 for a struggling Sheffield United side last season.

Chris Wood found the back of the net in his last game for Forest in a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth and averaged 1.29 shots on target per 90 mins last season.

The last time these two teams met was May 2023 and that was a 4-3 goalfest which fell in Nottingham Forest’s favour.

This price boost can be found at Bet365 —> link

The Long Shot - (18/1)

Brighton to have the most cards, Manchester United to have the most shots on target & corners (18/1)

These bets are often very close and at 18/1 it’s a good long shot option, especially considering that Manchester United had the same amount of shots on target as Brighton on the opening day despite only winning 1-0, compared to Brighton’s 3-0, suggesting if United found their groove as they did towards the end of the game, they could record plenty of shots on target.

United also recorded seven corners to Brighton’s five last weekend with the two clubs recording a very similar number of corners across the entirety of last season.

Bookings are often irrelevant to the team at home and Brighton recorded seven more bookings than United managed last season, also managing slightly more fouls per 90 (10.9) than Erik Ten Hag’s side (10.9).

Brighton are still adjusting to a new manager and although they strolled to a 3-0 victory against Everton, the Toffees had a man sent off and struggled to put up much of a fight, it’s still very conceivable that United dominate this tie, even away from home.

This price boost can be found at Bet365 —> link

The Accumulator - (15/1)

Fulham, Crystal Palace, Tottenham, Newcastle & Liverpool all to win (15/1)

Judging from how the game between Leicester and Tottenham went on Monday night, the Foxes look poor and struggle to create chances, therefore Fulham should have enough to brush them aside at home.

Tottenham looked very promising for the majority of the game and should be more comfortable playing at home, especially against an Everton side that collapsed at home to Brighton on the opening weekend.

Off the back of a surprise draw to Brentford, the bookies offer a great price for Crystal Palace to beat West Ham, who flattered to deceive against Aston Villa. The Eagles dominated possession, corners and shots on target against Brentford and could certainly get all three points against West Ham at home.

Newcastle only squeezed past Southampton in their season opener but that game was largely affected by the dismissal of Fabian Schar just 28 minutes into the game, Bournemouth are still adapting to the loss of Dominic Solanke and started slowly last season too.

Liverpool should be expected to complete a routine home win against Brentford despite Thomas Frank’s side grabbing an impressive win without Ivan Toney last Sunday. Brentford have lost all three of their previous visits to Anfield.

Best odds for this accumulator can be found at Bet365 —> link

All statistics have been sourced from FBRef, FotMob & FootyStats. 

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