🤑 Best football tips of the weekend 👇

The Premier League weekend has rolled around for the last time before the international break (yes again) with the serious competitors, goalscorers and strugglers becoming clearer week by week, as we use the stats to analyse the best value this weekend.

Our tips will consist of the following categories:

· The Banker – A bet with shorter odds that is typically, statistically, more likely to happen.

· The Earner – An upgrade on the banker that holds more potential profit, at a greater risk.

· The Long Shot – A bet with longer odds that aims to secure significant profit but as the name suggests, is often difficult to pull off.

· The Accumulator – A combination of often shorter odd bets to create a longer, more profitable accumulator.

The Banker - (11/10)

Danny Welbeck & Erling Haaland both to have a shot on target (11/10)

Brighton host Manchester City in Saturday’s 5:30pm kick-off as the Seagulls look to capitalise on the Citizen’s rare dip in form of late.

We believe that backing both these teams' top goalscorers this season appears to be good value at 11/10. 

Danny Welbeck currently averages 1.29 shots on target per match and has six goals to his name after ten matches and has recorded at least one shot on target in all of his last seven outings in the Premier League. 

Welbeck’s odds are inflated due to the strength of Brighton’s opponents, but Guardiola’s men have been particularly open defensively as of late, conceding six shots on target against Bournemouth and Sporting Lisbon, allowing Tottenham to have seven shots on target just a week prior, suggesting the strong defensive ability of City which has lengthened Welbeck’s odds is due to the champions’ early season form that may be dwindling.

Erling Haaland needs less explanation, the Norweigan may be enduring a relatively dry spell but still has an outrageous eleven goals to his name in just ten Premier League games, City’s main man also remains top of the shots on target per 90 list in the Premier League this season too, with an outstanding average of 2.7 shots on target per 90, Haaland tends to be a safe bet.

The best odds for this bet can be found at Bet365 - (link)

The Earner - (15/4)

Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz & Morgan Rogers all to have a shot on target (15/4)

Aston Villa’s visit to Anfield will make for one the headline clashes this weekend with the Reds looking to continue their table-topping form of late.

Mohamed Salah may be 32 but is showing little sign of decline, with an average of 1.75 shots on target per 90 so far this season, backing the Egyptian to score would be a reasonable bet, so a shot on target should be achievable.

Luiz Diaz can be expected to earn a starting spot in Liverpool’s team to face Aston Villa after bagging himself a hat-trick against Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League. The Colombian will be full of confidence after taking home the matchball and averages 1.45 shots on target per 90, making him Liverpool’s 2nd highest shot on target taker (out of players who’ve played 90+ mins).

Morgan Rogers lengthens this bet with the attacker a slight risk due to Liverpool’s stern defensive record, although the Reds have allowed easier access on their goal of late, allowing nine shots on target in their past two Premier League fixtures.

Rogers continues to be one of Aston Villa’s shining lights this season and has recorded two shots on target in his previous three Premier League games, with a goal against Tottenham last weekend breathing further confidence into the 22-year-old star.

The best odds for this gbet can be found at Bet365 - (link)

The Long Shot - (9/1)

Bukayo Saka to score or assist, Wesley Fofana to be booked, Nicolas Jackson to have a shot on target & there to be over 8 corners. (9/1)

This all-London clash at the Emirates not only throws pride on the line, but holds a strong bearing on how the table will be shaken up before the international break with the Gunners currently sat in 5th as Chelsea occupy 4th.

A man that loves to contribute in this derby is Bukayo Saka, the Arsenal captain recorded an assist in both games last season and has contributed either a goal or an assist in five of his ten games against the Blues.

No man has picked up more bookings in the Premier League this season than Wesley Fofana (6), with a feisty derby on the billing and an Arsenal side that rarely lack needle in their games as his opponents, Fofana could well receive his seventh yellow of the season on Sunday.

Maresca’s side could well be without main man, Cole Palmer, for their short trip north to Arsenal with the Italian likely looking to Nicolas Jackson to make up for his side’s loss in firepower due to Palmer’s absence.

Jackson is starting to find his form in England now however, and with an average of 1.5 shots on target per 90 as well as six goals in his ten Premier League starts this season, the Senegalise striker could well test David Raya in the Gunners net.

Arsenal and Chelsea place 5th and 7th in the Premier League for average corners won in a game with 6.1 and 6 respectively, it therefore should be a likely outcome that nine corners are forced in this fixture.

The best odds for this bet can be found at Bet365 - (link)

The Accumulator (10/1)

Bournemouth & Tottenham to win, West Ham to draw with Everton. (10/1)

This accumulator looks to maximise value by picking just three games amongst a tricky week of fixtures to call. Bournemouth’s trip to the Gtec Stadium for example looks good value for money, with the Cherries priced at 17/10 to defeat a Brentford side who allowed a gut-wrenching late Harry Wilson brace turn their victory to defeat.

Bournemouth are the inverse of Brentford as of late, Iraola’s side have picked up seven points out of a possible nine, defeating Arsenal and Manchester City whilst earning a hard-fought draw away to Aston Villa and will be looking to ride the wave of good form into their clash with Brentford.

West Ham are continuing to struggle to adapt to new manager, Julen Lopetegui, with the Hammers winning just one of their past three games and a thrashing at the hands of Nottingham Forest starting to ramp up the pressure on the former Wolves manager.

Everton will be frustrated by their loss to Southampton last weekend as the Toffees appeared as though they were establishing some stability. This clash at the Olympic Stadium could well be a tight affair with both sides struggling, making a high chance of the two sides cancelling each other out.

Tottenham appear to be starting to click into gear and climb the Premier League table now despite their odd wobbles against Brighton and Crystal Palace. 

Postecoglou’s men have been formidable at home this season, losing one of their five home games so far this season, making them obvious favourites for this home game against an Ipswich side still searching for their first victory of the season.

The best odds for this bet can be found at Bet365 - (link)

All statistics have been sourced from FBRef, FotMob, StatsMuse & TheStatsDontLie

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